Manifest

Smarter calls on short-window prediction markets.

Every 15 minutes, a call on whether an asset finishes up or down: crypto and commodities. Markets open one at a time, after they pass our tests.

Crypto

  • BTC · 15 min live
  • ETH · 15 min coming
  • SOL · 15 min coming
  • XRP · 15 min coming
  • DOGE · 15 min coming
  • BNB · 15 min coming
  • HYPE · 15 min coming
  • ZEC · 15 min coming
  • NEAR · 15 min coming
  • 30-min markets soon

Commodities

  • GOLD · 15 min coming
  • WTI · 15 min coming

One plan, $14.99 a month, with a 3-day free trial. The Discord is free to join.

How it works for you

Three steps, every 15 minutes

  1. 1 · Buy

    A call says UP or DOWN, and a price

    Buy that side on Kalshi if it still costs about that. The card says when it has climbed too far.

  2. 2 · Watch

    Keep the card open

    It says Hold, Think about selling, or Sell now, with what selling would get you right now.

  3. 3 · Done

    At the close, $1 or nothing

    A contract pays $1 if the side wins and nothing if not. Selling earlier locks in what you have.

Calls · Discord and dashboard

A live card for every market

Each market channel holds one card per caller, edited in place through the window: the call, the price to buy under, and how it is going.

  • Notify me: a ping when your caller calls that market
  • #all-calls: every call as it locks, one line each
  • #settled-results: every result, with its chart
  • #market-stats: each market's record, today, this week and all time
  • The dashboard: Live, Calls and Stats, and switch callers any time

BTC Edge call: UP @ 61¢

Window 2:15–2:30 PM ET · target $61,240.00


Chance 71% · Pays about $0.59 per $1

Buy UP under 66¢. Called at 4:12 in.

Now: on track

@BTC Edge New call: UP at 61¢ · 71% chance

A reply to the card, removed when the window closes

BTC 2:15–2:30 PM ET settled UP


Edge UP @ 61¢ · WON

EoM UP @ 86¢ · WON

Illustrative examples of the Discord cards.

Free

Watch a market live, free

Log in with Discord and watch the live chart: Kalshi's UP price through the window, every time the price crosses the target, and the biggest dip and rebound. The Discord is free to join too.

Parlays · My Parlays

Your parlays, tracked live

Connect a read-only Kalshi key and follow every parlay you hold: what it is worth now, each leg as its game plays, and a nudge when one needs you.

  • A read-only Kalshi key: nothing can be bought, sold or moved with it
  • What each parlay is worth now, what it pays and how many legs have hit
  • Cash-out and slipping alerts, in the app or your own Discord
  • Live legs: every leg and its game as it happens, with a link to follow it live

Live now · 2 legs · de Minaur, Set 3 · in 2 parlays

Example parlays on the My Parlays screen
ParlayStatusPaidWorth nowPaysProgress
4-leg parlaySet 3 Cash out $10.00 $18.40 $42.00 2 of 4 hit
6-leg parlaySet 2 Up $10.00 $11.20 $96.50 3 of 6 hit
5-leg parlayToday 6:30 PM Slipping $10.00 $7.90 $58.00 1 of 5 hit
An illustrative view of My Parlays.

Parlays · Check a Parlay

Check a parlay before you place it

Paste a Kalshi parlay link and see what it is really worth, before you pay for it.

  • Every leg with its chance and game time, riskiest first
  • What it is worth against what Kalshi charges: the parlay tax
  • A plain verdict: priced below its legs, or overpriced
  • Live scores once the games start
Overpriced: skip

You'd pay 26¢ for a parlay worth about 21¢ at today's prices.

Win chance
21%
Fair price
21¢
Parlay tax
+24%
Example legs of a 3-leg parlay, riskiest first
LegGameChance
Fritz to winToday 6:30 PM48%
Lakers to winToday 10:00 PM61%
Chiefs vs Bills: over 44.5 pointsSun 1:00 PM72%
An illustrative parlay check.

How it works

Two callers, your pick

Both watch the asset's live price from several exchanges every second, against Kalshi's prices. They differ in when they call.

  • EoM caller

    Default

    One call at 10:00, or 12:00 if too close

    End of Market: one call near the end of the window, on the side the model and the market agree on. When it is too close to call, it skips.

    Right most often. Pays less per win.

  • Edge caller

    An earlier call, when the price looks cheap

    It calls as soon as our chance clearly beats Kalshi's price, often in the first minutes. Some windows get no Edge call.

    Bigger payouts at lower prices. Wrong more often.

Pick your caller on the dashboard and switch any time. Every market board carries both callers' cards, and each caller keeps its own public record.

Honest by design

Every window, on the record

  • Every call logged, for each caller

    Wins and losses are posted in public and never deleted.

  • Every result posted

    Each settled window goes to #settled-results with its chart.

  • Records you can check

    Each market's scoreboard in #market-stats, and Stats on the dashboard.

Pricing

One plan, everything included

Start with a 3-day free trial. Billed monthly by Stripe. Cancel anytime.

Manifest Pro

3-day free trial

$14.99 / month

Free for 3 days, then $14.99 a month.

The calls and your parlays, in one plan

  • Both callers: the EoM caller and the Edge caller
  • Each caller's calls in Discord as they lock in
  • A live card for every market, with Notify me pings
  • Under-pressure and take-profit alerts
  • Every result with its chart, and each market's scoreboard
  • Each caller's record, in Discord and on Stats
  • Check a Parlay: paste a Kalshi link and get a verdict before you buy
  • My Parlays: follow your own parlays with a read-only Kalshi key
  • Cash-out and slipping alerts, in the app or your own Discord
  • The dashboard: Live, Calls, Stats and your parlays

Or $500 once for lifetime. No trial, nothing renews.

Not ready yet? The Discord is free to join. Already a member? Log in with Discord.

Refer a friend: earn 10% of their first three payments, from My Account.

FAQ

Questions

Why does it not call some very obvious windows?

A window often looks obvious only afterwards. The EoM caller does call the side that looks likely at 10:00, unless it is too close to call; then it takes a second look at 12:00.

The Edge caller works differently. By the time a side is clearly winning, Kalshi has usually priced it at 85 to 95 cents, so a win pays very little and one loss wipes out several wins. It calls only when our chance is clearly higher than the price, so it skips windows the market has already priced in. In very calm markets the model is also more careful than the market, which means fewer Edge calls.

Which caller should I pick?

The EoM caller (End of Market) makes one call at 10:00, on the side the model and the market agree on; if it is too close then, it takes a second look at 12:00. It is right most often, and pays less per win.

The Edge caller calls earlier, as soon as our chance clearly beats the price. It pays more per win, and is wrong more often. Each caller keeps its own record: compare them on Stats, and switch any time in Preferences.

Is this financial advice?

No. These are automated predictions, and they can be wrong.

Which markets?

Kalshi's 15-minute crypto and commodity markets: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, XRP, Dogecoin, BNB, Hyperliquid, Zcash and NEAR, plus gold and WTI oil. We open each one after testing it, and 30-minute markets are coming too. The list at the top of the page shows which are live now.

What do I get?

One plan, Manifest Pro at $14.99 a month or $500 once for lifetime: the calls from both callers, live in Discord and on the dashboard, plus Check a Parlay, a verdict on any Kalshi parlay before you buy, and My Parlays, your own Kalshi parlays watched live.

Is there a free trial?

Yes. Manifest Pro monthly starts with a 3-day free trial, billed by Stripe. Cancel before it ends and you are not charged. Lifetime has no trial.

Is there a lifetime plan?

Yes: $500 once for Manifest Pro for life, paid on Stripe, and nothing renews. Already monthly? Switch from My Account and your monthly plan stops renewing.

Do I need a Kalshi account?

Only to trade, or to track your own parlays. Following the calls needs only Discord.

How do I cancel?

Open the menu under your name at the top right, choose My Account, then Manage billing. That opens Stripe, where you cancel. Pro stays on until the period you paid for ends.

I paid but see nothing in Discord

The bot gives you the Pro role within a few minutes of paying, but only once you are in the server. Join with the invite, or log in to the dashboard again so the bot can add you. If the channels are still missing after that, ask in the Discord.

Is it guaranteed?

No. Every result is public, wins and losses alike.